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Extreme events as an inadequately explored measure of solar geoengineering performance

Modelling
South Africa | Lennard
Climate patterns, Extreme weather

Abstract

Global mean surface temperature (GMST) is the primary target used to design and compare solar geoengineering simulations, and it is a useful first-order predictor of the climate response. Its limits as a measure of performance, however, remain largely untested. Studies of how solar geoengineering alters climate extremes exist yet remain inadequately explored. We argue that extreme-event metrics should become a formal part of performance assessment, so that success is judged by how interventions alter the risks of floods, heatwaves and droughts especially for climate vulnerable regions.

Publication data

Journal: Environmental Research: Communications
Date: 26 August 2026
DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ae9f31

Authors

Kwesi Akumenyi Quagraine

University of Cape Coast

Mari Tye

National Center for Atmospheric Research

Chris Lennard

University of Cape Town

Kwesi Twentwewa Quagraine

Texas A&M University

The Degrees Initiative
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