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Satellite image over eastern part of Mexico City, Mexico
Mexico City, Mexico. Credit: KARI/ESA

GeoMIP-Pattern – a pattern scaling dataset for efficient generation of custom geoengineering scenarios

Socio-political
Mexico | Estrada Porrua
Governance, Methodology

Abstract

In this paper we present GeoMIP-pattern, the first global geoengineering pattern scaling dataset. This dataset is useful to generate custom solar radiation modification scenarios and to emulate the GeoMIP model output with low data volume. Temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity patterns are derived from ScenarioMIP SSP5-8.5 and GeoMIP G6sulfur model output data using a two-step approach: the first scaling patterns are obtained by estimating a linear regression between the field of interest and the SSP5-8.5 annual global mean surface temperature, allowing for the calculation of no stratospheric aerosol injection scenarios for a global spatial grid. The second patterns are produced by regressing the field of interest on the annual global temperature difference between the G6sulfur and SSP5-8.5 experiments, which in combination with the first pattern emulates the stratospheric aerosol injection scenario. The dataset contains validation statistics, including unit root hypothesis tests novel to the field of pattern scaling, which demonstrate that the pattern slope adequately captures local changes, with most regions showing no remaining trend or nonstationarities in the residuals.

Publication data

Journal: Scientific Data
Date: 01 August 2025
DOI: 10.1038/s41597-025-05496-6

Authors

Francisco Estrada Porrua

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico (UNAM)

Rodrigo Muñoz-Sánchez

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

Bernardo A. Bastien-Olvera

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

Oscar Calderón

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

Miguel Altamirano

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

The Degrees Initiative
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