Skip to content
South_Kalimantan_Borneo_ESA_Kuswanto3

Statistical downscaling and bias correction of the Earth System Models (ESM) outputs for future climate projection under solar geoengineering: case study Indonesia

Modelling
Indonesia | Kuswanto
Methodology

Abstract

Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is a controversial idea for minimizing global warming. Simulations have been carried out to generate the future projection of the climate condition from the Earth System Models (ESM). However, the outputs are available on low-resolution data with some degree of bias. Downscaling is a solution to obtain ESM data that resembles the local climate. This study also applied several popular bias correction methods to correct the bias of Marine-Earth Science and Technology (MIROC)-ESM historical data and further assessed the significance test for each grid through correlation map and Taylor diagram. Extreme index (e.g. the max 1-day precipitation amount (RX1Day) and the hottest day (TXx)) projected with SRM and without SRM is derived, based on the downscaled output and the best correction bias. We found an inconsistent pattern of difference Rx1Day index between with and without SRM scenarios, while the TXx index of the with SRM scenario is consistently below the without SRM scenario. It indicated that SRM will effectively reduce the level of future maximum temperature.

Publication data

Journal: Journal of Mechanical Engineering Special Issue
Date: 15 November 2021
DOI: None

Authors

Fatkhurokhman Fauzi

Muhammadiyah University Semarang, Indonesia

Heri Kuswanto

Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

R. Mohamad Atok

Dept. of Actuarial Science, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Indonesia

M. Salamah

Dept. of Business Statistics, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Indonesia

The Degrees Initiative
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.